Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.03) 
