Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Sao Paulo
50.13% ( 1.53)	24.81% ( -0.97)	25.07% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

2.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

3.44)

49.86% (

-3.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14% (

2.99)

71.85% (

-2.99)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

2.05)

19.9% (

-2.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.97% (

3.2)

52.03% (

-3.2)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

1.39)

34.45% (

-1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

1.46)

71.16% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 50.13%

Sao Paulo 25.07%

Draw 24.8%

Palmeiras	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.83% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -1.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.07%