There is little confidence across both camps ahead of Sunday's meeting, but we expect an entertaining affair nonetheless. We also fancy Zwolle to see off the challenge of Heracles and get their league season up and running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heracles
49.1% ( -0.18)	24.36% ( -0.1)	26.53% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 55.28% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.16% (

0.63)

46.84% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9% (

0.58)

69.1% (

-0.59)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.17)

19.13% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

0.29)

50.78% (

-0.29)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

0.55)

31.64% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

0.63)

68.06% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 49.1%

Heracles 26.53%

Draw 24.36%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.1%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.53%