SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
62.53% ( -0.15) | 22.5% ( -0.01) | 14.97% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% ( 0.34) | 53.35% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( 0.28) | 74.89% ( -0.29) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( 0.06) | 16.58% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.63% ( 0.12) | 46.37% ( -0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.43% ( 0.44) | 47.56% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.09% ( 0.33) | 82.91% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.97% |
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