SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
51.75% ( 0.26) | 26.28% ( -0.21) | 21.97% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.93% ( 0.68) | 58.07% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.25% ( 0.53) | 78.74% ( -0.54) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( 0.4) | 22.56% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( 0.6) | 56.15% ( -0.6) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.07% ( 0.34) | 41.93% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.62% ( 0.29) | 78.37% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.97% |
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