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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
47.11% ( -0.01) | 24.73% ( 0.01) | 28.16% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( -0.05) | 47.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.04) | 69.54% ( 0.04) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0.02) | 20.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( -0.03) | 52.42% ( 0.04) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -0.03) | 30.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( -0.03) | 66.9% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.16% |
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