Blessed with the free-scoring Gyokeres up top and a near-unbreakable three-man defensive wall protecting the embroynic Pinto in goal, Sunday's final is surely Sporting's to lose, in spite of Porto's penchant for success in this tournament.
Conceicao's men can also cut incredibly staunch defensive figures when it matters most, meaning that it may take just a solitary goal to decide the destiny of the crown - one which ought to come the way of Amorim's men.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%).
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