SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
53.35% ( -0.03) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 21.92% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( -0.05) | 52.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( -0.04) | 74.13% ( 0.04) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( -0.03) | 19.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.42% ( -0.05) | 51.58% ( 0.05) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.01) | 38.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.01) | 75.52% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.92% |
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