San Lorenzo seem to have rediscovered their scoring touch in the Libertadores, and we believe that will breathe new life into their attack on Monday and give them an advantage against Lanus.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.76%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (13.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.