Sassuolo will be looking to take advantage of the fact that Fiorentina will have their eyes elsewhere, but it is difficult to back the hosts at the moment due to their recent struggles. We are expecting the points to be shared on Friday, which both managers would likely accept if it were offered ahead of kickoff.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.42) 
