SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 89.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 3.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.35%) and 0-2 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
3.21% ( 0) | 7.59% ( 0.01) | 89.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.01) | 22.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.87% ( -0.01) | 42.13% ( 0.01) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.88% ( 0.01) | 55.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.05% ( 0.01) | 87.95% ( -0.01) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.88% ( -0) | 3.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.06% ( -0.01) | 13.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.12% Total : 3.21% | 1-1 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 7.59% | 0-3 @ 11.94% 0-4 @ 10.35% 0-2 @ 10.33% 0-5 @ 7.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.12% ( 0)1-4 @ 6.17% 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0)1-5 @ 4.28% ( -0)0-6 @ 4.15% ( -0)1-6 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-7 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)1-7 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 4.56% Total : 89.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
