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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
LL

Werder Bremen
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Bittencourt (14'), Friedl (36'), Deman (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Deman (9' og.), Frimpong (42'), Grimaldo (76')
Grimaldo (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

The fact Leverkusen are still yet to stumble suggests they could maintain their challenge at the top, and they should have enough to navigate their way past a potentially tricky test here against Werder. Alonso will hope they can get through this week still on top and past Hacken with limited fuss in midweek, before a huge trip to Borussia Dortmund next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
17.72% (0.127 0.13) 20.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 61.98% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.473 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.85% (0.494 0.49)39.14% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (0.517 0.52)61.47% (-0.52 -0.52)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (0.443 0.44)35.48% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.457 0.46)72.25% (-0.459 -0.46)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.128 0.13)12.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27% (0.273 0.27)37.72% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 17.73%
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.98%
    Draw 20.29%
Werder BremenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 17.73%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.68% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.04 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 61.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 2-5 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League


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