Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
