Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ufa win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ufa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
