Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%).