SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Arsenal |
39.49% ( -0.54) | 24.58% ( 0.07) | 35.93% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.25) | 43.74% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( -0.25) | 66.13% ( 0.25) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.37) | 22.12% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( -0.57) | 55.49% ( 0.57) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( 0.14) | 23.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( 0.2) | 58.21% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.93% |
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