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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
33.1% ( -1.26) | 26.63% ( -0.17) | 40.26% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.45) | 53.23% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( 0.38) | 74.79% ( -0.38) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0.59) | 30.21% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( -0.71) | 66.38% ( 0.71) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 0.99) | 25.97% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( 1.32) | 60.98% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.26% |
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