Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
1.06) 
-0.26) 
