While Athletico Paranaense have raced to the top of the league standings, there are still a few question marks about whether they will be able to sustain that level of performance, especially given their average away record.
Fortaleza have certainly not set the league alight this term, but they have maintained an unbeaten league record after five games, and we feel they will take a share of the spoils from this one as well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
1.05) 
-1.04) 
