Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
41.87% ( 0.39) | 23.14% ( 0.15) | 34.99% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 64.38% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.06% ( -0.89) | 36.94% ( 0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.88% ( -0.98) | 59.12% ( 0.98) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.85% ( -0.2) | 18.15% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.88% ( -0.35) | 49.12% ( 0.35) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.69) | 21.35% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.69% ( -1.07) | 54.31% ( 1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 41.87% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.99% |
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