Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 3-1 (5.41%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
44.28% (![]() | 22.17% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.52% (![]() | 32.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.88% (![]() | 54.12% (![]() |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.59% (![]() | 15.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.77% (![]() | 44.22% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.98% (![]() | 20.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.78% (![]() | 52.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 9.28% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 7.46% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.54% |
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