Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
-1.74) 
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