SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.95%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Uruguay |
26.37% ( -0.06) | 31.31% ( 0.11) | 42.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 36.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.3) | 70.37% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.53% ( -0.19) | 87.47% ( 0.19) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.24) | 44.92% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.13% ( -0.19) | 80.87% ( 0.19) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( -0.19) | 33.29% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( -0.21) | 69.91% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.36% | 0-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.31% | 0-1 @ 16.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 42.31% |
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