SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
67.41% ( 1.84) | 18.35% ( -0.29) | 14.24% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( -2.03) | 36.96% ( 2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( -2.23) | 59.14% ( 2.23) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( -0.11) | 10.09% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.78% ( -0.26) | 33.22% ( 0.26) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% ( -3.3) | 38.45% ( 3.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( -3.3) | 75.2% ( 3.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.82)3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.65)3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.35)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.99% Total : 67.41% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.43)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.25)Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.24% |
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