SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
28.51% ( 0.17) | 22.57% ( 0.03) | 48.92% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( -0.04) | 37.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( -0.05) | 59.33% ( 0.04) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( 0.09) | 25.2% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( 0.13) | 59.93% ( -0.13) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( -0.09) | 15.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.56% ( -0.17) | 44.43% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 48.92% |
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