Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 83.73%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 5.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.78%) and 4-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.