Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
