SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.36%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester United |
35.84% ( 0.05) | 23.02% ( 0.19) | 41.14% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.87% ( -0.94) | 36.13% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.76% ( -1.04) | 58.24% ( 1.05) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.4) | 20.55% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( -0.64) | 53.07% ( 0.65) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( -0.49) | 18.12% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% ( -0.85) | 49.07% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 41.15% |
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