Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.68) 
-0.99) 
