Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
46.23% ( -0.12)	25.45% ( 0.01)	28.32% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.75% (

0.03)

50.25% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.8% (

0.03)

72.2% (

-0.03)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

-0.04)

21.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.1% (

-0.06)

54.9% (

0.07)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

0.1)

32.06% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

0.12)

68.53% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 46.23%

Bragantino 28.32%

Draw 25.44%

Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.32%