SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
55.42% ( 0.14) | 24.43% ( -0.01) | 20.15% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( -0.1) | 53.26% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.09) | 74.81% ( 0.09) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( 0.02) | 19.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( 0.03) | 50.75% ( -0.02) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.19) | 41.08% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( -0.17) | 77.63% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.27% 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.15% |
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