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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
H

Holstein Kiel
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Erras (28')
Gigovic (35'), Remberg (38'), Porath (59'), Knudsen (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Siersleben (18'), Gimber (33'), Mainka (68'), Schoppner (70'), Pieringer (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Holstein Kiel
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Heidenheim
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Heidenheim

Despite Heidenheim's underwhelming record at Kiel, the visitors have more about them than the struggling 17th-placed side and will back themselves to clinch a third road top-flight success in five away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHeidenheim
29.49% (0.324 0.32) 23.53% (0.128 0.13) 46.99% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (-0.401 -0.4)41.06% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54% (-0.413 -0.41)63.45% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.012 0.01)26.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.75% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.331 -0.33)17.72% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.575 -0.57)48.39% (0.574 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 29.49%
    Heidenheim 46.99%
    Draw 23.52%
Holstein KielDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.24% (0.115 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.49%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 46.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Holstein Kiel
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Heidenheim
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 27 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Pafos 0-1 Heidenheim
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Conference League


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