SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
31.22% ( -0.22) | 29.23% ( 0.01) | 39.55% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 43.63% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.09) | 63.05% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.49% ( -0.06) | 82.51% ( 0.06) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( -0.21) | 36.68% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( -0.21) | 73.46% ( 0.21) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.08) | 31.11% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( 0.09) | 67.43% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.55% |
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