SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Brazil |
16.59% ( -0.36) | 24.5% ( -0.11) | 58.92% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 41.73% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% ( -0.09) | 57.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( -0.07) | 78.66% ( 0.08) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.53) | 48.11% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( -0.39) | 83.31% ( 0.4) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.15) | 19.59% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.48% ( 0.24) | 51.52% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.59% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 15.36% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 12.52% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.81% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 58.92% |
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