Las Palmas' recent improvement is encouraging, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Friday despite their struggles this season. Rayo have impressed during the 2024-25 campaign, though, and we are backing the capital side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
-0.24) 
0.05) 
