Both sides appear to be playoff-bound, but neither have shown the ability to control a match for 90 minutes, which is why we project they will each keep their winless runs intact.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
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