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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
KL

Freiburg
2 - 0
FC Koln

Gregoritsch (72'), Sallai (90+4')
Hofler (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ljubicic (27'), Chabot (31'), Kainz (57')
Chabot (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 FC Koln

Koln have become a frustrating side to play against of late, and even Bayern Munich could only score once past them in a narrow defeat for Baumgart's side. After an underwhelming performance in midweek, there could be a minor hangover for a Freiburg side that may have heavy legs after Streich went full strength in East London. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.86%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
55.86% (1.454 1.45) 22.02% (-0.437 -0.44) 22.12% (-1.021 -1.02)
Both teams to score 58.17% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.818 0.82)40.69% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (0.833 0.83)63.07% (-0.83799999999999 -0.84)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (0.755 0.75)14.46% (-0.76 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (1.446 1.45)42.41% (-1.451 -1.45)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-0.44 -0.44)31.99% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-0.504 -0.5)68.46% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 55.86%
    FC Koln 22.12%
    Draw 22.02%
FreiburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.194 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.173 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.097 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Bayern
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 3-2 FC Koln
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


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