SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
41.53% ( -0.33) | 25.84% ( 0.15) | 32.63% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% ( -0.59) | 50.07% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% ( -0.53) | 72.04% ( 0.52) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( -0.42) | 23.88% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( -0.61) | 58.08% ( 0.61) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( -0.17) | 28.96% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( -0.21) | 64.85% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.63% |
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