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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
BL

Real Madrid
0 - 4
Barcelona


Junior (80'), Militao (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lewandowski (54', 56'), Yamal (77'), Raphinha (84')
Casado Torras (44'), Kounde (69'), Martinez (75'), Pena (82'), Gavi (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Bayern
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.83%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
55.83% (-0.132 -0.13) 21.03% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.13% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 63.2% (0.145 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.28% (0.116 0.12)34.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.32% (0.131 0.13)56.67% (-0.138 -0.14)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.16199999999999 0.16)27.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.209 0.21)63.37% (-0.215 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 55.83%
    Barcelona 23.13%
    Draw 21.03%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 55.83%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.03%
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 23.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
Saturday, October 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Alaves
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Bayern
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Sevilla
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Young Boys
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Osasuna 4-2 Barcelona
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Getafe
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in La Liga


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