Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.