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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
City Ground
LL

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Leeds

Johnson (14')
Danilo (30'), Boly (52'), Williams (55'), Surridge (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Struijk (13'), Wober (77')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

:Headline: Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups:
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Sports Mole

With the bottom eight teams in the Premier League table separated by just six points, it is difficult to overstate the importance of Sunday's clash between Nottingham Forest and Leeds United.

As it stands, Forest find themselves three points above Leeds, who sit one point clear of the relegation zone, so both sides will be desperate to pick up a positive result at the City Ground.


Match preview

It is no secret that Nottingham Forest endured a difficult start to the season as they struggled to adapt to the demands of top-flight football, winning just one of their first 11 Premier League matches after gaining promotion via the playoffs.

Following a damaging five-game losing run between August and October, it looked as though Steve Cooper's side were destined for a swift return to the Championship, but they have gradually turned the tide over the past few months.

Indeed, the Tricky Trees have only lost two of their previous 10 Premier League outings – picking up four wins and four draws along the way – and they head into Sunday's showdown on a four-game unbeaten streak in the league.

On top of that, Forest have avoided defeat in each of their last six home games in the Premier League – winning three of their previous five – with a victory over Liverpool and a draw against Chelsea coming in that time.

The East Midlands outfit conceded a whopping 21 goals across their opening eight league matches, scoring just six in reply, but they have only conceded 14 goals in their past 12 league outings, highlighting their defensive improvements.

Although Forest suffered a 5-0 aggregate defeat to Manchester United in the EFL Cup semi-finals earlier this week, Cooper's men will be confident of bouncing straight back against Leeds, having generated some much-needed momentum in the Premier League.

In contrast, Leeds United made a bright start to the campaign – registering two wins, three draws and two losses across their first seven Premier League matches – but they failed to build on their promising early-season form.

After suffering four consecutive league defeats in October, the Whites briefly stopped the rot with back-to-back victories over Liverpool and Bournemouth, but they have failed to find a league win since then, recording three draws and three losses in the process.

The FA Cup has served as a welcome distraction from their Premier League struggles in recent weeks, as Leeds thrashed Cardiff City 5-2 in a third-round replay before booking their place in the last 16 with a 3-1 win against Accrington Stanley.

That said, it will not be easy for Jesse Marsch's men to carry their FA Cup form onto the top-flight stage, as they have managed to win just two of their last 16 Premier League encounters, losing seven of their previous 12.

Having registered one win, two draws and six losses away from home, Leeds have only taken five points from a possible 27 on their travels this season, meaning they hold the second-worst away record in the division.

Marsch's men can take confidence from the fact that they have scored more away goals than nine Premier League teams this term, although Forest have kept three clean sheets in their last five home league games, preventing Liverpool, Crystal Palace and Leicester City from scoring.

Nottingham Forest Premier League form:


Nottingham Forest form (all competitions):


Leeds United Premier League form:


Leeds United form (all competitions):



Team News

Following another flurry of arrivals at the City Ground, Forest could hand debuts to Jonjo Shelvey, Andrew Ayew and Felipe this weekend, although the newcomers are not likely to feature in the starting XI.

However, Paris Saint-Germain loanee Keylor Navas is expected to start between the sticks for the hosts, as Dean Henderson remains sidelined with a hamstring problem.

Forest's lengthy injury list also contains Morgan Gibbs-White, Taiwo Awoniyi, Cheikhou Kouyate and Moussa Niakhate, while there are question marks over the fitness of Ryan Yates, Chris Wood and Jack Colback due to illness.

Renan Lodi and Serge Aurier should occupy the full-back positions on Sunday, with Brazilian youngster Danilo sitting in front of the back four, allowing the likes of Brennan Johnson and Gustavo Scarpa to roam forward.

Leeds also made a number of notable signings during the winter transfer window, bringing in Maximilian Wober, Georginio Rutter and Weston McKennie, with the latter yet to feature for the club.

With Rodrigo expected to be out for around two months following ankle surgery, Rutter could make his Premier League debut on Sunday, having started against Accrington Stanley in the FA Cup last time out.

Adam Forshaw, Crysencio Summerville and Stuart Dallas remain sidelined due to injury, while Robin Koch is suspended after picking up five yellow cards, so Junior Firpo is likely to replace Koch in the starting XI.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Navas; Aurier, Worrall, Boly, Lodi; Danilo, Freuler, Mangala; Scarpa; Johnson, Surridge

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Ayling, Wober, Struijk, Firpo; Adams, Roca; Aaronson, Gnonto, Harrison; Bamford


We say: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Leeds United


Having avoided defeat in each of their previous six home league matches, Nottingham Forest will be confident of extending their unbeaten run at the City Ground, but the hosts might have to settle for a draw this weekend.

Leeds United have netted six goals across their last four away league outings, scoring two at Anfield and three at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, so they are more than capable of frustrating their relegation rivals.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
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