SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Manchester United |
66.67% ( -0.02) | 16.86% ( 0) | 16.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.5% ( 0.02) | 24.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.74% ( 0.02) | 44.26% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.04% ( 0) | 6.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.48% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( 0.03) | 27.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 0.04) | 63.06% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.77% 5-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.23% 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 4.22% Total : 66.68% | 1-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.86% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.89% Total : 16.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
