Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
