Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
