Colombia were full of goals at the Copa America as they scored 12, their highest ever in a single tournament, and with Peru struggling in front of net, we expect an easy victory for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-0.43) 
0.56) 
